On 7th December, Rajasthan - the biggest state of India will come out maybe in the bitter cold to cast their valuable votes for Rajasthan Election 2018 where one party has a face for their leader but there is the mood of gross anti-incumbency while on the other hand, we have a party with no leader with no face, all this makes this election interesting but leaves the people in dilemma for their face.
The Political Dilemma of Rajasthan
The 2018 Rajasthan election becomes more important and much awaited due to number reasons, Rajasthan marks the last state to get polled before the General Election in 2019. Thus, the mandate of Rajasthan will give a rough idea about the mood of people, this will act as a base for political analysts and trend analysts to decipher the roadmap for 2019, and will give a topic for debate for news houses “Are people of India happy with Modi Government or not?”
But above all these, there are numerous things which makes this election more thrilling one of them is the political equation of Rajasthan. In the last 25 years, Rajasthan showed the trend of anti-incumbency and the last man who actually sworn for consecutive two terms was Bhairon Singh Shekhawat in 1993 when he was the chief minister from 1990 to 1992 and after a year-long president rule, he was elected as chief minister for full-fledged 5 years. Since then both Ashok Gehlot and Vasundhara Raje exchanging their duties in the span of every five years.
Owing to such events in history, Congress is in full confidence to overthrow Vasundhara Government and elevated to form their own government but they didn’t showcase their chief minister candidate which makes even worse situation inside the party. The party is clearly divided into halves one half of the party projecting Sachin Pilot as their chief ministerial candidate and the other half still wants Gehlot to be the next chief minister.
This difference is clearly visible in the party as it is confirmed by numerous of incidence, both groups had gone to the verge of a physical attack on each other for various occasion, there was an environment of a dilemma during ticket distribution to the candidates and later the list was released after much dilly-dallying and that too with unfinished homework many of the candidates got their ticket hastily the suitable example for the same is Manvendra Singh (S/o Jaswant Singh) who switched to Congress from BJP just to contest election from Jhalarapatan against Vasundhara Raje, who hasn’t lost a single election from there. Manvendra from Jhalarapatan is a naive move which will not only gift a win to Vasundhara but also eventually end his political career.
On the other hand, the people of Rajasthan are not happy with the Vasundhara Government, though people from Jhalawar and the nearby are extremely happy by the efforts of Vasundhara and are ready to cast their votes again to Maharani (since she belongs to the royal family of Scindia and married to Dholpur royal family). But Vasundhara herself knows it very well the votes from Jhalarapatan are not enough to conquer Jaipur.
The third point that adds more twist to this complex equation is Hanuman Beniwal’s RLP. Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLP) will act as “vote-cutter” in Rajasthan. Since in Rajasthan, there is no space for the third party for the moment and in that scenario, his party will cut the votes from both Congress and BJP especially the Jat votes. Unfortunately, caste plays a vital role in Rajasthan politics. Even in this election tickets were distributed on the basis of castes. From the formation of two fronts in Rajasthan Jats were considered as a vote bank for Congress while Rajputs were considered as a vote bank of BJP.
It was never an easy task to predict the mood of Rajasthan for any analyst even in 2014 when they were sure about BJP to return in power was surprised by the mandate when BJP storms into power with 163 seats out of total 200 seats and when the things are actually complicated much trend experts to scratch their heads before making final call.
All these things makes Rajasthan a battlefield for all parties where none of them is favorite among the people and on 7th December, Rajasthan - the biggest state of India will come out in the bitter cold to cast their valuable votes for Rajasthan Election 2018 where one party has a face for their leader but there is the mood of gross anti-incumbency while on the other hand, we have a party with no leader with no face, all this makes this election interesting but leaves the people in dilemma for their face. However, I am looking forward to a marginal win for BJP which probably make the way for Vasundhara to become the chief minister for third time however, a bleak but there is a possibility for a new face in BJP as well or hung assembly with Congress as the favorite party, and in that case, Ashok Gehlot will become the Chief Minister instead of Sachin Pilot.